Dj_bereta wrote:Miguel98 wrote:So, Max Verstappen, who entered the Mercedes Junior (DTM) Driver, now has backing from RedBull... Now I wonder: did he left the Mercedes Driver Programme and entered the RedBull one... And now it looks the rumour that he'll drive for Toro Rosso next year is not that, hum, stupid at all.
https://twitter.com/redbullmotors/statu ... 6161313792
I think it was a bad move from Max. Vettel and Ricciardo are young and will stay in Red Bull for many years. Maybe Vettel leaves the team in the next 5 years for racing for Ferrari, after Alonso retirement, but this probably won't happen until the end of 2016 season. Not only this, but there a lot of more concurrency in RB Junior programme. Kvyat are doing very well and will be the Vettel replacement if he keeps this performance.
Hamilton and Rosberg aren't young drivers (also I believe Hamilton will leaves Mercedes in the future) and there less concurrency in Mercedes junior driver programme.
Whilst Ricciardo is the youngest of that quartet, being aged 25, there is not a large difference in age between Vettel, Rosberg and Hamilton given that Vettel is 27 and the latter two are both 29. Realistically, Hamilton and Rosberg will probably look to remain at Mercedes for a couple of years at least - Rosberg has already signed a contract extension and Hamilton is reportedly in the middle of negotiations with Mercedes to follow suit, so I can't see them moving that soon.
However, there is the possibility that developing connections with Mercedes could have helped negotiate a seat at Force India - di Resta's bid for a seat there was reportedly helped by the fact that Force India wanted to develop a technical partnership with Mercedes after agreeing to use their engines.
As for Red Bull, to be honest I can't see the parent team changing quickly - yes, Ferrari might make a bid to hire Vettel if Alonso or Kimi were to leave, and the latter has indicated that he might move on after the 2015 season, but Vettel is only likely to move if there are signs that Ferrari are either on the up or Red Bull are on the slide, neither of which yet look like they'll come to fruition.
The Dutch Bear wrote:Mexicola wrote:Salamander wrote:No, it is still stupid, simply because Verstappen:
A) Hasn't been out of karts for more than a year.
B) Very likely doesn't qualify for a Superlicense at this stage.
C) Has only competed in European Formula 3, the most recent champion of which is in GP2 and most certainly doesn't look like jumping to Formula 1 for 2015.
D) Isn't even leading European F3 - in fact, he's nearly 4 race wins behind Esteban Ocon with 9 races left in the season.
E) Is still not even 17 years old.
F) Has his father as a living example of being rushed far too quickly to Formula 1.
Even if the rumour has any truth to it, Toro Rosso would be unbelievably moronic to put Verstappen in the car ahead of Carlos Sainz Jr or Alex Lynn, both of whom are leading their respective championships, the reigning champions of which both moved immediately to Formula 1 and have put generally favourable results on the board.
Exactly. Max shows a lot of promise and it's clear he's a good driver (for a guy at his age anyway), but he's far too young and inexperienced to start venturing into upper categories right now,
especially Formula 1. He needs time to grow and mature as both a person and a driver. Give him a couple of years at least with some series championships under his belt, and sticking him in a team like Toro Rosso wouldn't be too bad of an idea.
It is pretty much a given that Carlos Sainz Jr will drive for Toro Rosso next year. Probably Verstappen will take his position as the third/reserve driver combined with a year at the Red Bull aligned Carlin Motorsport in Formula Renault 3.5. With Vettel's contract at Red Bull expiring at the end of 2015 and Räikkönen retiring at the same time, Ferrari has a seat available that Vettel wouldn't mind to sit in. The vacancy at Red Bull will, given his performance so far, be filled by Kvyat. This leaves a spot open at Toro Rosso that Verstappen can fill very nicely. Putting him straight into F1 would be ridiculous, but with one year extra experience in Formula 3.5 it would be reasonable in my mind.
You would expect Sainz Jr to be moved up into F1 next season if he continues his current trajectory, with Vergne being sidelined to create space for him, which would create a vacancy in Formula Renault 3.5 that he could then fill.
The alternative might be that Lynn is moved up into FR3.5, with Verstappen moved into GP3 as Lynn's replacement (a GP3 car is still a step up on a Formula 3 car given that GP3 cars are now supposed to produce about 400bhp), then on from there into FR3.5 and then perhaps Toro Rosso. Max has shown potential so far, but you'd expect that the greater experience of Sainz Jr and Lynn, not to mention their success in their respective series, to tip things in their favour.