Wizzie wrote:Ben Gilbert wrote:Wizzie wrote:In what universe was the 2008 Toro Rosso worse than the 5th best car on the grid?
The universe where Ferrari, McLaren, Renault, BMW Sauber and Toyota competed.
Not buying it, at all. Renault only really woke up in the last third of the year, and if Bourdais actually had any luck, they would have finished ahead of Toyota in the championship. The fact that Vettel consistently scored points in it showed it was a fundamentally decent package which he got the absolute maximum out of week in, week out from Monaco onwards when they finally got the new car.
Okay, I did state that rather simplistically, there, but I still disagree with you on those points. If Renault only waking up in the last-third of the year is so vital for Vettel's success, then why did Vettel only hit his majori scoring stride in the same timeframe? As for Bourdais, well... my memory is a little hazy for much of the year, but looking at the raw lap charts doesn't support that.
Monaco: Bourdais crashed out after out-qualifying Vettel. Not the only driver to do so, but it's difficult to blame back luck when so many were able to avoid the wall. Vettel rose to fifth.
Canada: Bourdais out-qualified Vettel again, but he only stayed ahead for four laps. While Bourdais languished, never once cracking the top ten, Vettel hung around the points for much of the race and eventually took eighth, having set a faster best lap than Bourdais.
France: Bourdais could claim to be unlucky, having been hit by Button early, but given that both McLarens, Ferraris, Toyotas, Renaults, BMW Saubers and Red Bulls out-qualified both Toro Rossos, and only Heidfeld failed to outfinish Vettel, I doubt he would have made any impression on the points. Vettel outqualified Bourdais, but remained in the midfield for most of the afternoon.
Britain: Vettel qualified eighth and was taken out early in a collision with Coulthard. Bourdais qualified thirteenth, albeit only two tenths off Vettel in Q2, and never made it higher than eleventh.
Germany: Bourdais was always about four places behind Vettel in the race, barring the one lap when Vettel had pitted and he hadn't, after being four tenths back in Q2, remaining fifteenth while Vettel made it to Q3. Vettel also made it into the points; Bourdais never got close.
Hungary: Vettel outqualified Bourdais by eight places, albeit with the aid of a pentalty, but also by eight tenths of a second. However, this gap is eliminated by the end of the opening lap, and Vettel would later retire. Bourdais was held up in the pits by fuel fires, but, again, given that all points scorers also outqualified both Toro Rossos, and that this is Hungary, I doubt points were on the offer.
Valencia: Both Toro Rossos made it into Q3; Vettel 6th, Bourdais 10th. Both finished where they started. Vettel again had the best lap.
Belgium: Ah, yes, the race where Bourdais could have had a podium were it not for the dastardly drivers who passed him on inters! No. Bourdais was fourth with one lap to go, behind Alonso (who didn't get promoted after Hamilton's penalty) and ahead of Vettel, Kubica and Heidfeld, of whom only the latter had stopped for intermediate tyres. Bourdais not only watched Heidfeld breeze by, but then put up no resistence as Vettel and Kubica blasted past
on the same dry tyres as him. Not lack of luck; lack of skill and bravery.
Italy: Nine tenths behind Vettel in qualifying; stalled on the grid. Though that was from fourth place, so we'll chalk that as anywhere between one and eight points lost, to be generous.
Singapore: Eleven spots behind Vettel in qualifying, 1.3 seconds slower in Q1 and dropped out, while Vettel made it into Q3. Bourdais did figure in the points, though: for one lap, during the safety car period, which was also the only lap he ran ahead of an eventual point-scorer. Vettel never dropped out of the top ten, hung around in the points for most of the race, and finished fifth.
Japan: Yes. Bourdais was unlucky here. He was only one spot behind Vettel in qualifying, but out-drove him in the race, lead three laps and, depsite the tangling with Massa, went on to finish sixth. Five seconds and one spot ahead of Vettel; ten seconds behind Trulli, who he was behind when he collided with Massa. That's three points lost, at least.
China: Collided with Trulli at the first corner in a desperate dive, throwing away a decent chance of points after qualifying eighth, never cracking the top-ten thereafter in the race. Vettel also finished outside the points.
Brazil: Bit difficult to determine, this one. Again, Bourdais qualified close to Vettel, albeit behind, as both Toro Rossos made it to Q3. Bourdais pitted for dries early on, alongside Timo Glock, while Vettel stayed out as the track continued to dry. This was the closest the Toro Rossos would be during the race; while Vettel interfered with the battle for the Championship and eventually finished fourth, Bourdais battled with the Hondas for most of the rest of the race, and eventually settled on fourteenth. However, Bourdais was with Glock early on in the race, albeit behind him, and suddenly dropped five spots on the twentieth lap. As I am unsure to whether this was a pitstop, it not being covered on whatever replays I can find, I'll give Bourdais the benefit of the doubt and say that he could have finished behind Glock: in seventh.
By my reckoning, that makes anywhere between six and thirteen points lost by Bourdais. Toyota finished seventeen points ahead of Toro Rosso in 2008, and, again by my reckoning, Toyota would have lost exactly one point if Bourdais had been luckier (by Trulli finishing ninth and not eighth in Brazil). Adding in the two points Bourdais did score in Belgium, that makes up fifteen points that could have been his with the new Toro Rosso, a car with which Vettel scored thirty-five points.
But that's not quite an accurate picture, given Toyota scored more than Toro Rosso before the new car arrived; after that point, Toyota outscored Toro Rosso by twelve points.
And nor is that the end of it. Looking back across the results of that season, McLaren, Ferrari and BMW Sauber are an obvious leading trio, with Williams, Honda and Force India (plus Super Aguri) bringing up the rear, leaving fourth to seventh undecided. Personally, I don't think there was a single point where the Renault was a distinctly worse car than the Toro Rosso, unless Alonso was simply outperforming it to a ludicrous degree, and the Red Bull was definitely ahead until France, after which they began to drop back. Being about level, or very slightly behind, the Toyota, I would say that the new Toro Rosso hovered between seventh and fifth best over the year, only achieving the latter around Belgium.
But that's just my opinion, and I think I may have dragged this off-topic, somewhat.
To the original question: Yes, Hulkenberg is doing very well, and easily deserves a top drive for next year. No, I do not think his achievements matter one iota with regards to Vettel's, particularly as Guttierez does not provide a strong yardstick for where the Sauber actually is (other than 'it isn't a good car').