Bleu wrote:What if Benetton had not poached Michael Schumacher after one race with Jordan, and instead Schumacher would have stayed with Jordan until the end of 1993 for example?
If he saw out 1991 with Jordan, he would've impressed enough that he'd have been picked up by a bigger team, probably before or during 1992 given that Jordan were tight on money that season and might have accepted a few quid for Schumacher's contract. He might have ended up at McLaren in 1993 instead of Hakkinen either.
But, let's say he somehow stayed at Jordan until the end of 1993. I reckon he still would've impressed by dragging the 192 and 193 into a few points finishes it didn't deserve, so he's being looked at by bigger teams. As a side effect of the extra points Schumacher gets them, Jordan are a little bit closer to the front in the mid-late 90s, but still peak in 99 or 2000 and decline from there.
I reckon the most likely destinations for Schumacher in 1994 would be Benetton, considering that even with him there, they decided to run an open test for a driver for that season in real life, or McLaren considering Brundle wasn't dropped from Benetton in 1993, is likely still there and not on the market.
If he goes to Benetton, the B194 isn't built around him, so he doesn't win the '94 WDC, and probably not the '95 one either. But he does get podiums and race wins. He stays (and consequently, Benetton's key technical staff stay) until 1996 or 1997, and possibly wins a WDC in one of those seasons before upping sticks to Ferrari, taking Brawn, Byrne etc with him. So basically, he has the same career with a delay of a couple of years, and probably wins 4 or 5 WDCs instead of 7.
If he goes to McLaren, he continues to impress in dodgy machinery until '97 when McLaren become capable of race wins, at which point he's an outside bet for the WDC until the last few rounds. He then battles his team-mate Hakkinen for the 98 and 99 WDCs, and comes out on top both times. Hakkinen retires without a WDC that his talent deserves. With Ferrari unable to dominate 2000-2004 because he's not there, he picks at least a couple more WDCs (possibly more) at McLaren in the 2000s, dueling with Montoya a couple of seasons and possibly whoevers at Ferrari (Villeneuve poached from Williams after a poor 1998, maybe?) once or twice too. Possibly Benetton get in or around challenging the WDC and WCC in the late 90s since they keep their technical staff, but they wouldn't have the Schumacher factor, and to be honest it's too complicated to factor in, especially since I have no idea who'd end up driving for them - Berger and Alesi probably don't go there in 1996 since Schumacher isn't displacing them by moving to Ferrari.
On another point, I'm not going down the "SCHUMACHER AND BENETTON'S CHEATING KILLED SENNA!!!" route that you occasionally see in UToob comments, but there is a possibility that with Schumacher not putting him away in the first two races, Senna isn't pushing quite as desperately hard in San Marino and isn't killed. If that's the case, then he likely wins the '94 and '95 WDCs before going to Ferrari for a couple of years, maybe challenging for a championship before retiring. Of course, maybe being Senna he'd have pushed insanely and been killed anyway. In which case Hill probably wins both of those seasons with Berger (in 94) and Coulthard (in 95) as his main challengers. That could potentially lead to him winning 4 WDCs in a row before retiring at the end of 1998.
So... tl;dr.
Schumacher at Benetton in 94, Senna Lives:
1994: Senna (Williams)
1995: Senna (Williams)
1996: Hill (Williams) or Schumacher (Benetton)
1997: Villeneuve (Williams), Senna (Ferrari) or Schumacher (Benetton)
1998: Hakkinen (McLaren)
1999: Hakkinen (McLaren)
2000: Schumacher (Ferrari)
2001: Schumacher (Ferrari) or Hakkinen (McLaren)
2002: Schumacher (Ferrari)
2003: Montoya (Williams)
2004: Schumacher (Ferrari)
Schumacher at Benetton in '94, Senna is killed:
1994: Hill (Williams)
1995: Hill (Williams)
1996: Hill (Williams) or Schumacher (Benetton)
1997: Hill (Williams) or Schumacher (Benetton)
1998: Hakkinen (McLaren)
1999: Hakkinen (McLaren)
2000: Schumacher (Ferrari)
2001: Schumacher (Ferrari) or Hakkinen (McLaren)
2002: Schumacher (Ferrari)
2003: Montoya (Williams)
2004: Schumacher (Ferrari)
Schumacher at McLaren in '94, Senna lives:
1994: Senna (Williams)
1995: Senna (Williams)
1996: Hill (Williams)
1997: Villeneuve (Williams) or Senna (Ferrari)
1998: Schumacher (McLaren)
1999: Schumacher (McLaren)
2000: Schumacher (McLaren)
2001: Schumacher (McLaren) or Villeneuve (Ferrari)
2002: Schumacher (McLaren), Villeneuve (Ferrari) or Montoya (Williams)
2003: Schumacher (McLaren), Villeneuve (Ferrari) or Montoya (Williams)
2004: Schumacher (McLaren) or Villeneuve (Ferrari)
Schumacher at McLaren in '94, Senna is killed:
1994: Hill (Williams)
1995: Hill (Williams)
1996: Hill (Williams)
1997: Hill (Williams)
1998: Schumacher (McLaren)
1999: Schumacher (McLaren)
2000: Schumacher (McLaren)
2001: Schumacher (McLaren) or Villeneuve (Ferrari)
2002: Schumacher (McLaren), Villeneuve (Ferrari) or Montoya (Williams)
2003: Schumacher (McLaren), Villeneuve (Ferrari) or Montoya (Williams)
2004: Schumacher (McLaren) or Villeneuve (Ferrari)