Predicament Predictions - 2014 Australian Grand Prix

[dr-baker]

IIDOTR: Dont know the abbrv (dont kill me)

Don't worry, I won't kill you. Just hurt you until you scream in pain...Not!

IIDOTR: Infinitely Improbable Drive of the Race. Reference to the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, where, however infinitely Improbable something is, there is still a chance that it may indeed happen. Like HWNSNBM breaking Jan Lammers's record, or Stefan GP being awarded an entry to the 2015 F1 season. Not likely, admittedly, but Stefan GP has lodged an entry, the FIA are yet to decide on who to award the entry to... HWNSNBM for Stefan GP, 2015!!!!

You've been here over three years and there are still some abbrevs. that you cannot figure out?!

Let me explain one more to you then. HWNSNBM = He Whose Name Shall Not Be Mentioned. In a number of the mid-to-late '00 podcasts, there was a certain Hungarian driver who Jamie and Enoch were passionate should return to F1 - the Max Chilton/Kamui Kobayashi of his day. He left F1 still in his mid-20s, having scored a point for Minardi! His last GP was in 2004, so I reckon he may be going for the F1 record that is currently held by Jan Lammers, in in which Luca Badoer is in second place. Maybe there could be a return of HWNSNBM next year? He's still only 33 now...

xD HWNSNBM I did know about, I even have a self-made tshirt sporting his abbreviation. I have listened to the podcasts since '06-'07.
Most of the abbreviations that I don't know are in The Perry McCarthy Memorial Forum.

I don't know if you ever saw this thread?, relevant to this discussion.
http://f1rejects.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=6114

Sarcasm doesn't really come across easily on the interent does it?

[RAK]

RAK's Predictions
2014 Detonating Renaults Grand Prix

1) Hamilton
2) Alonso
3) Rosberg
4) Bottas
5) Raikkonen
6) Hulkenberg
7) Button
8) Perez
9) Massa
10) Sutil

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Rosberg
First Retirement: Ricciardo
ROTR: Red Bull - engine detonations and no speed
IIDOTR: Bottas
DBTMOTR: Massa
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Ericsson, Kobayashi, Kvyat

[Walsh_e]

2014 Bonza GP

1. Bottas
2. Rosberg
3. Hulkenberg
4. Alonso
5. Räikkönen
6. Massa
7. Magnussen
8. Bianchi
9. Vettel
10. Chilton

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Bottas
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Caterham
IIDOTR: Max Talent Talent Talent Chilton
DBTMOTR: Button
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: None

[Jocke1]

Sarcasm doesn't really come across easily on the interent does it?

My sarcasm-ometer has never functioned properly. It frequently let's me down.

[mario]

1. Button (if, and this is a big if, the conditions are as variable as predicted, then you'd expect Button to come to the fore in that instance)
2. Hamilton
3. Alonso
4. Bottas
5. Räikkönen
6. Massa
7. Magnussen
8. Rosberg
9. Perez
10. Sutil

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Bottas
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: The overblown predictions of horrendous retirement rates (I don't think that the mechanical retirement rate will be too bad here given everybody will have fresh powertrains. It's when the teams are getting to Bahrain or China and are using parts with two or three race distances on them that we'll probably start seeing more problems)
IIDOTR: Bottas
DBTMOTR: Gutierrez
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: None

[johnnyCarwash]

JohnnyCarwash's Predictions

2014 wacky races season opener


1. Hamilton
2. Raikkonen
3. Button
4. Rosberg
5. Massa
6. Alonso
7. Magnussen
8. Bottas
9. Hulkenberg
10. Bianchi

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Hamilton
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Red Bull
IIDOTR: Bianchi
DBTMOTR: Gutierrez
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: None

[MinardiFan95]

MinardiFan's Predictions
2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Rosberg
2. Button
3. Hamilton
4. Hulkenberg
5. Alonso
6. Bottas
7. Perez
8. Raikkonen
9. Magnussen
10. Massa

Pole: Vettel
Fastest Lap: Perez
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Renault
IIDOTR: Bottas
DBTMOTR: Magnussen
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Ericsson

[Shadaza]

2014 Australian "New Age" Grand Prix

1. Hamilton
2. Rosberg
3. Alonso
4. Button
5. Massa
6. Ricciardo
7. Bottas
8. Hulkenberg
9.Magnussen
10.Raikkonen

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Bottas
First Retirement: Grosjean
ROTR: F1 Doomsayers
IIDOTR: Ricciardo, podium challenge early on before fading.
DBTMOTR: Raikkonen
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Ericsson, Kobayashi

[Jocke1]

DNQ: Ericsson, Kobayashi

I still have faith in my prediction.

[dr-baker]

Just edited my entry (revised my opinion of DNQers).

Plus, I cannot remember seeing the final results of last year's predictions. That wasn't the year I came 20th, was it?

[Rocks with Salt]

I have two predictions this time around -- one for myself and one done by a random number generator! Just count my official one and not the other one: This was done purely as an experiment.

Rocks with Salt's Predictions
2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Rosberg
2. Button
3. Alonso
4. Magnussen
5. Raikkonen
6. Vettel
7. Massa
8. Hulkenberg
9. Sutil
10. Vergne

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Rosberg
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Renault
IIDOTR: Magnussen
DBTMOTR: Bottas
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Kobayashi; Ericsson
_____________________________________
Random Number Generator's Predictions
2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Rosberg
2. Bottas
3. Vettel
4. Perez
5. Hulkenberg
6. Alonso
7. Sutil
8. Vergne
9. Gutierrez
10. Bianchi

Pole: Kobayashi (?)
Fastest Lap: Vergne
First Retirement: Bianchi (Despite finishing 10th, apparently)
Driver ROTR: Chilton
IIDOTR: Grosjean
DBTMOTR: Ericsson
MLP: Kvyat
DNQ: None

[dr-baker]

Random Number Generator's Predictions
2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Rosberg
2. Bottas
3. Vettel
4. Perez
5. Hulkenberg
6. Alonso
7. Sutil
8. Vergne
9. Gutierrez
10. Bianchi

Pole: Kobayashi (?)
Fastest Lap: Vergne
First Retirement: Bianchi (Despite finishing 10th, apparently)
Driver ROTR: Chilton
IIDOTR: Grosjean
DBTMOTR: Ericsson
MLP: Kvyat
DNQ: None

Still looks fairly plausible, certainly in comparison to some of the other predictions on here...

[Enforcer]

Edited my ROTR. We're not in FP3 yet, so I can do that?

[dr-baker]

Edited my ROTR. We're not in FP3 yet, so I can do that?

Yes. I did.

And to clarify, when I said Lotus and Caterham to DNQ, I meant with both cars from each team, not just one or other car of each team...

[KalleVRTN]

KalleVRTN's Predictions
2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Hamilton
2. Alonso
3. Rosberg
4. Button
5. Massa
6. Button
7. Hülkenberg
8. Bottas
9. Sutil
10. Gutierrez

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Hamilton
First Retirement: Räikkönen
ROTR: Lotus
IIDOTR: Button
DBTMOTR: Magnussen
MLP: Kvyat
DNQ: Ericsson, Kobayashi

[SgtPepper]

It's a new dawn, it's a new day Grand Prix.

1. Hamilton
2. Rosberg
3. Alonso
4. Button
5. Raikkonen
6. Vettel
7. Magnussen
8. Hulkenberg
9. Ricciardo
10. Perez

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Raikkonen
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Maldonado
IIDOTR: Hulkenberg
DBTMOTR: Maldonado
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Kobayashi, Ericsson

Really hope Caterham breaks through 107%, would be awful to see Kamui sat on the sidelines after a year out.

[TomWazzleshaw]

I have two predictions this time around -- one for myself and one done by a random number generator! Just count my official one and not the other one: This was done purely as an experiment.

Actually, I'll count the second one as a separate entry for Based RNG for the heck of it.

[mash]

mash's predictions
2014 Well-worn Grand Prix

1. Hamilton
2. Alonso
3. Button
4. Raikonnen
5. Magnussen
6. Bottas
7. Massa
8. Hulkenberg
9. Perez
10. Vettel

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Hamilton
First Retirement: Maldonado
ROTR: Caterham
IIDOTR: Magnussen
DBTMOTR: Kvyat
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: None

[dinizintheoven]

DNQ: Controversial choice here? Reverend Maldolan...

[ryangregg12345]

Ryangregg12345's prediction
2014 Dawn of the V6 Engines Grand Prix

1. Hamilton
2. Vettel
3. Raikkonen
4. Alonso
5. Magnussen
6. Ricciardo
7. Kvyat
8. Perez
9. Button
10. Rosberg

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Hamilton
First DNF: Maldonado (for being so damn unlucky in qualifying, the #13 curse takes its toll on the Venezuelan)
ROTR: Maldonado (stalls on lap 1, almost gets wiped out by Kobayashi)
IIDOTR: Ricciardo (almost finishes on the podium but falls to sixth by the finish)
DBTMOTR: Magnussen
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: None

[TomWazzleshaw]

2014 Australian Grand Prix
1. Rosberg
2. Magnussen
3. Button
4. Alonso
5. Bo77as
6. Hulkenberg
7. Raikkonen
8. Vergne
9. Kvyat
10. Perez

Pole: Hamilton
Fastest Lap: Rosberg
First Retirement: Kobayashi/Massa
ROTR: Red Bull
IIDOTR: Magnussen
DBTMOTR: Perez
MLP: Magnussen
DNQ: Maldonado

Someone will do a proper points standing at some point, but in the meantime, here's the following penalties that are being handed out:

Good_Ralf: -2 points for a ridiculous suggestion
ryangregg12345: -10 points for late submission, loss of all points for submission after qualifying, -5 points for getting DNQ wrong anyway
Dr-Baker: -1 point for getting Premiership and Placement mixed up

[tommykl]

I got MLP, IIDOTR and DBTMOTR...I smell big points

[Dj_bereta]

Ricciardo's DSQ destroyed my prediction. At least I got some points.

[dr-baker]

Someone will do a proper points standing at some point, but in the meantime, here's the following penalties that are being handed out:

Dr-Baker: -1 point for getting Premiership and Placement mixed up

Ah crap. How come nobody noticed earlier?! Or were they waiting for me to be penalised for trying to help someone?

[go_Rubens]

That was a really nice haul of points for me. Or at least for my standards. For my standards, getting over 10 points is a few times greater than what I normally get.

[HawkAussie]

We now have the standings after the opening round

dr-baker - 27 (*) (-1) (IIDOTR)
go_Rubens - 21
tristan1117 - 20
Rocks with Salt - 19
diniztheoven - 19
Dj_bereta - 18
East Londoner - 18
kevinbotz - 18
rachel1990 - 17
TMLW - 17
RAK - 16
tommykl - 16
watka - 16
johnnuCarwash - 15
More_Blue_Flags - 15
GwilymJJames - 15
Shizuka - 15
MinardiFan95 - 14
DOSBoot - 14
Enforcer - 14
Ataxia - 14
UgncreativeUsergname - 14
mash - 13
Meatwad - 13
Klon - 13
roblomas52 - 13
SgtPepper - 12
Basetornado - 12
HawkAussie - 12
wsrgo - 12
Shadaza - 11
mario - 11
Walsh_e - 11
FMecha - 11
AxelP800 - 11
Rocks with Salt (RNG) - 11
Bleu - 10
Dartanian - 10
Wizzie - 10
KalleVRTN - 8
Freeze-O-Kimi - 8
good_Ralf - 8 (-2)
jackanderton - 7
Aerospeed - 7
Jocke1 - 1 (ROTR)
ryangregg12345 - -8 (-15) (ROTR)

IIDOTR - dr-baker - For using his double points to get him into the lead
ROTR - Jocke1/ryangregg12345 - Blank moment, of course

[the Masked Lapwing]

No offence to Baker, but I fail to see what's so special about winning with double points. He was the only one to do so, so top scoring should be expected (and verging on ROTR if he didn't).

[go_Rubens]

Gosh, that was a high scoring round for me. Let's hope I'm not as rejectful as last year (bar Korea)...

[More_Blue_Flags]

We now have the standings after the opening round

dr-baker - 27 (*) (-1) (IIDOTR)
go_Rubens - 21
tristan1117 - 20
Rocks with Salt - 19
diniztheoven - 19
Dj_bereta - 18
East Londoner - 18
kevinbotz - 18
rachel1990 - 17
TMLW - 17
RAK - 16
tommykl - 16
watka - 16
johnnuCarwash - 15
More_Blue_Flags - 15
GwilymJJames - 15
Shizuka - 15
MinardiFan95 - 14
DOSBoot - 14
Enforcer - 14
Ataxia - 14
UgncreativeUsergname - 14
mash - 13
Meatwad - 13
Klon - 13
roblomas52 - 13
SgtPepper - 12
Basetornado - 12
HawkAussie - 12
wsrgo - 12
Shadaza - 11
mario - 11
Walsh_e - 11
FMecha - 11
AxelP800 - 11
Bleu - 10
Dartanian - 10
Wizzie - 10
KalleVRTN - 8
Freeze-O-Kimi - 8
good_Ralf - 8 (-2)
jackanderton - 7
Aerospeed - 7
Jocke1 - 1 (ROTR)
ryangregg12345 - -3 (-10) (ROTR)

IIDOTR - dr-baker - For using his double points to get him into the lead
ROTR - Jocke1/ryangregg12345 - Blank moment, of course

If I have added this up correctly, Rocks with Salt RNG effort scored 11, or not far enough behind my score for me to completely dismiss the idea of using RNG myself in the future.

[dinizintheoven]

More points in one round than I've scored in every other Predicament Predictions put together... I think. But then, those were joke predictions before.

My choices for Malaysia are beginning to look more like joke predictions with every passing session...

[dr-baker]

No offence to Baker, but I fail to see what's so special about winning with double points. He was the only one to do so, so top scoring should be expected (and verging on ROTR if he didn't).

Well, I used them early to give myself an early lead in this, and my 'winning' margin is not worthy considering it wasn't a level playing field. But it's a victory nonetheless, and I take full advantage while I can!

[TomWazzleshaw]

For saving me the effort for doing the points standings myself, Hawk gets five bonus points for doing them. However, he gets a 2 point penalty for calculating RyanGregg's score incorrectly (It's supposed to be -15, not -3) and an additional 3 point penalty for neglecting to do the points for the prophet RNG.