dr-baker wrote: ↑10 Dec 2023, 20:12
Jarvis wrote: ↑10 Dec 2023, 12:15
The way Max dominated the whole season. I don't think we're going to see such domination from any driver in the next few years at least.
I hope you're right, i really do. And yet I suspect that until there is a major rules change, there will continue to be dominance by one team and driver. It will be a long time until we get a repeat of 2006 to 2010, where each championship was won by a different team and a different driver without repeat.
It does seem to be the case that, when the current regulations were drawn up, it was in the expectation that we wouldn't have the situation that we have now - i.e. that there wouldn't be one team that managed to carve out a significant advantage.
The development restrictions and budget cap were intended to keep the field close together by limiting how much a team could develop, but by that same token, it makes it harder to see where any team could make a significant jump in performance from one year to another. Teams did make some headway by copying Red Bull, but even then, it felt more like a case of shuffling the pecking order behind Red Bull, with the pack as a whole not really making significant ground on the leaders.
It does also feel that 2024 might well be the last hope for something of interest in the current development cycle. Given the FIA has banned wind tunnel and CFD modelling for components for the 2026 regulations until the 1st January 2025, it means that teams probably will have to spend most of 2025 working on their cars for 2026.
That means that, for most teams, their 2025 cars are unlikely to see much in-season development and will probably effectively be lightly developed versions of their end of season 2024 cars, with a few tweaks to meet any specific rules for 2025. If they're not close to Red Bull in 2024, it means 2025 is almost certainly going to be a similar write off too.