JeremyMcClean wrote:redbulljack14 wrote:I'm thinking Caterham will score points this weekend if it rains.
Bollocks. Obviously if there's going to be a team in the back of the grid that scores points, it's going to be HRT.
At least that's my theory anyways.
However, my full predictions are (as everybody elses) on the Predicament Predictions thread.
Caterham are in an interesting situation - statistically, they have been just as reliable, if not more reliable, than Marussia or HRT, but at the same time they are trialling a lot of upgraded or new parts, including new engine maps (according to the BBC's commentary team at least - they noted that the exhaust note of the Caterham was markedly different compared to previous races). They might edge a little closer to the tail of the field, but bringing in multiple upgrades at once also increases the chance of a mechanical failure: in conditions that are this waterlogged, though, it is almost more pot luck whether or not you are unlucky enough to aquaplane off the circuit or not (I feel a little sorry for Bruno Senna in that regard after the last practise session).
Merely getting to the end of the race, therefore, could be enough to score a point - the last time that the conditions were comparably bad would probably be the 2008 British GP, where there were only 13 finishers. Given that several drivers today were struggling at times, combined with the potential for the teams having to press on with slightly worn wet weather tyres, there well could be enough attrition for a few surprisingly high finishers.
On another note, there have been a few terse exchanges between Hembery and some members of the press over the current limit of three sets of wet tyres in the regulations leading to a relative lack of cars wanting to drive on Friday, with teams keen to save their tyres in case the next few days are wet. Although Hembery did mention that Pirelli's logistical centre could bring more wet tyres to this event (their main distribution centre is in Didcot), he then went on to defend the current allocations by pointing out that, in the current waterlogged conditions, the wet tyres should be fairly durable (reckoning that each set should be good for 60 laps) and sufficient for qualifying and the race itself.
Furthermore, asides from pointing out that bringing additional tyres would increase logistical costs for what is a relatively rare occurrence, he then went on to criticise the teams for complaining about a lack of tyres, pointing out that even when Pirelli brought more wet weather tyres to events last year, the teams still remained reluctant to go out on track and preferred to stockpile their tyres instead.
http://www.autosport.com/news/report.php/id/100969